Statistics

Birthday Paradox Calculator

Find the chance two people share a birthday.

Parameters Live Compute
Calculated Output
Shared-birthday probability (%) 50.73
Formula: P = 1 − ∏(365−i)/365
Step-by-Step Breakdown
1. Values used:
2. Number of people = 23
3.
4. Shared-birthday probability = 50.73%
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Surprisingly few people are needed for a shared birthday to be likely.

The math behind it

P(shared) = 1 − probability all are different = 1 − ∏(365−i)/365.

Worked Example

23 people → 50.7% chance of a match.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why so few?

It counts every pair, not just matches to one person — pairs grow fast.

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